SHLS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SHLS - Shoals Technologies Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$9.44
-0.58 (-5.79%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 24, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SHLS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SHLS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.91
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.50
10.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SHLS is currently trading at $9.44, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.82 to $9.62. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 20.3) compared to its historical average (17.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SHLS is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $8.48, while resistance sits at $10.37. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: SHLS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SHLS is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $8.48, while resistance sits at $10.37. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: SHLS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$8.82 -
$9.62
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.8%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($9.95)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.0% growth which is achievable
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$8.82 -
$9.62
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.48
Resistance Level
$10.37
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.31
Wall Street Target
$9.95
(-0.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
32.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
15.2%
Profit Margin
7.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.0% premium
PE vs Historical
20.3 vs 17.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.52
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$11.05
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$11.60
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$10.05
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 25.8%)
$21.89
(+119%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.3, Growth: 25.8%)
$19.94
(+99%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 25.8%)
$16.95
(+69%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 16.37 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.58
Bull Case
$11.40
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 17.2
Base Case
$9.44
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 16.4
Bear Case
$7.22
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 14.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 10:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:01 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:01 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SHLS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced SHLS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SHLS price and gamma walls.
