SLP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SLP - Simulations Plus, Inc.

SERVICES-COMPUTER INTEGRATED SYSTEMS DESIGN
$16.89
-0.82 (-4.63%) β–Ό
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 08, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: SLP is down 19.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.03
Based on 4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.92
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SLP is currently trading at $16.89, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.20 to $20.23. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.9) compared to its historical average (18.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 200% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SLP is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.77. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.6% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.67 (+46.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $18.20 - $20.23
Company Quality Score 42/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 50th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 73.8%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.6%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 46.0% below Wall St target ($24.67)
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -19.0% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $18.20 - $20.23
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) Β±$1.50 (8.9%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $16.77
Resistance Level $21.01
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.86
Wall Street Target $24.67 (+46.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -2.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 200.0%
Profit Margin -81.7%
Valuation Discount vs History -5.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 15.9 vs 18.5 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -5.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $16.03 (-5%)
2-Year Target $15.21 (-10%)
3-Year Target $14.44 (-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16β†’19) $16.84 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 4.1%) $26.80 (+59%)
Base: (SPY PE: 15.9, Growth: 4.1%) $19.06 (+13%)
Bear: (PE: 13.5, Growth: 4.1%) $16.20 (-4%)
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.9 to 18.5
Stabilization Target: $19.70 (+16.7%)
PE Expansion Potential: +16.7%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 5:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:53 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced SLP Option Strategies

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