SLP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SLP - Simulations Plus, Inc.
$11.99
0.03 (0.25%)
▲
5d:
+2.48%
30d:
-2.91%
90d:
-34.23%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 02, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SLP appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -9.3% annual earnings decline despite 200% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SLP appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -9.3% annual earnings decline despite 200% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.61
Based on 4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.18
1.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SLP is currently trading at $11.99, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.61 to $12.28. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.3) compared to its historical average (15.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 200% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SLP is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.14. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SLP has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.67 (+105.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SLP is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.14. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SLP has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.67 (+105.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$11.61 -
$12.28
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 105.7% below Wall St target ($24.67)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$11.61 -
$12.28
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.03
(8.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.09
Resistance Level
$12.15
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.26
Wall Street Target
$24.67
(+105.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
200.0%
Profit Margin
-81.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.3 vs 15.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.87
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$9.86
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$8.95
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→15)
$12.00
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 4.1%)
$24.72
(+106%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.3, Growth: 4.1%)
$13.53
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.6, Growth: 4.1%)
$11.50
(-4%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.3 to 15.1
Stabilization Target:
$16.08
(+34.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+34.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 6:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SLP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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