SNPS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SNPS - Synopsys Inc

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$465.12
-14.88 (-3.10%) ▼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 25, 2026 23d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SNPS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$698.60
Based on 10.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$433.77
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SNPS is currently trading at $465.12, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $479.31 to $517.46. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 27.5) compared to its historical average (31.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SNPS is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $463.21. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $555.65 (+19.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $479.31 - $517.46
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 72.4%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.1%)
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($555.65)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.2% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $479.31 - $517.46
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $463.21
Resistance Level $525.49
Current Trend Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 27.54
Wall Street Target $555.65 (+19.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 37.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -66.5%
Profit Margin 18.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -3.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 27.5 vs 31.0 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -3.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $447.44 (-4%)
2-Year Target $430.44 (-8%)
3-Year Target $414.08 (-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 28→31) $466.04 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 27.5, Growth: 17.4%) $752.59 (+62%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 17.4%) $609.32 (+31%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 17.4%) $517.92 (+11%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (28x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 35.09 | Forward EPS (Implied): $13.26
Bull Case $561.63 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 36.8
Base Case $465.12 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 35.1
Bear Case $355.81 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 31.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 27.5 to 31.0
Stabilization Target: $523.48 (+12.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +12.5%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 5:57 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:57 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael T. McCaul SELL 2025-09-25
Sudhindra Kankanwadi SELL 9873 shares 2025-09-22
Sudhindra Kankanwadi SELL 6000 shares 2025-09-19

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Advanced SNPS Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SNPS price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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