SPMC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SPMC - Sound Point Meridian Capital, Inc.
$13.73
-0.17 (-1.22%)
▼
5d:
-3.99%
30d:
-0.15%
90d:
-16.13%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Feb 11, 2026
7d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SPMC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SPMC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.76
Based on 4.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.41
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SPMC is currently trading at $13.73, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.73 to $14.54. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.1) is in line with its historical norms (6.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPMC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.80. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.50 (+27.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPMC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.80. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.50 (+27.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$13.73 -
$14.54
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.5% below Wall St target ($17.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$13.73 -
$14.54
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.80
Resistance Level
$14.50
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.11
Wall Street Target
$17.50
(+27.5%)
Profit Margin
7.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.5% premium
PE vs Historical
6.1 vs 6.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.80
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$13.87
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$13.94
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→6)
PE COMPRESSION
$13.69
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 4.9%)
$57.86
(+321%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.1, Growth: 4.9%)
$15.85
(+15%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.2, Growth: 4.9%)
$13.47
(-2%)
Last updated: February 02, 2026 7:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:38 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:38 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is SPMC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
4
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Stephen Ketchum
BUY
1000 shares
2025-10-22
Ujjaval Desai
BUY
8000 shares
2025-10-22
Stephen Ketchum
BUY
2000 shares
2025-10-21