SPR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SPR - Spirit Aerosystems Holdings, Inc.
$39.39
0.62 (1.60%)
▲
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: December 5, 2025
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SPR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SPR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$44.46
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.61
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SPR is currently trading at $39.39, which is considered fair based on recent price action. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 28.9) is in line with its historical norms (28.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $39.74. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SPR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $39.74. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SPR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
UNKNOWN
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($38.22)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.0% growth with 7.8% revenue growth
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$34.62
Resistance Level
$39.74
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.94
Wall Street Target
$38.22
(+4.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-20.8%
Profit Margin
-40.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.0% premium
PE vs Historical
28.9 vs 28.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$55.09
(+50%)
2-Year Target
$82.64
(+125%)
3-Year Target
$123.96
(+238%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29→28)
PE COMPRESSION
$120.37
(+228%)
Last updated: February 01, 2026 3:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SPR showing a specific setup today?
