STNE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STNE - StoneCo Ltd. Class A Common Shares
$16.14
-0.57 (-3.41%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 02, 2026
28d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: STNE is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: STNE is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.53
Based on 9.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.61
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STNE is currently trading at $16.14, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.35 to $15.95. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 1.5) is in line with its historical norms (1.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STNE is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $14.11, while resistance sits at $17.28. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: STNE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.92 (+23.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STNE is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $14.11, while resistance sits at $17.28. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: STNE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.92 (+23.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$14.35 -
$15.95
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding STNE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 23.4% below Wall St target ($19.92)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$14.35 -
$15.95
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.11
Resistance Level
$17.28
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.50
Wall Street Target
$19.92
(+23.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
46.1%
Profit Margin
-7.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.6% premium
PE vs Historical
1.5 vs 1.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.56
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$16.99
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$17.43
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→1)
PE COMPRESSION
$16.23
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 14.9%)
$363.13
(+2150%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.5, Growth: 14.9%)
$24.48
(+52%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.3, Growth: 14.9%)
$20.81
(+29%)
Last updated: February 01, 2026 11:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:14 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:14 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STNE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced STNE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's STNE price and gamma walls.
