SUZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SUZ - Suzano S.A. American Depositary Shares (each representing one Ordinary Share ) representing one Ordinary Share)
$10.01
0.40 (4.16%)
▲
5d:
+3.41%
30d:
-10.47%
90d:
+8.1%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SUZ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SUZ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.37
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.54
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SUZ is currently trading at $10.01, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.77 to $11.02. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.6) is in line with its historical norms (8.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUZ is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.24. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: SUZ has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.82 (+43.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUZ is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.24. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: SUZ has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.82 (+43.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$9.77 -
$11.02
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 43.8% below Wall St target ($13.82)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$9.77 -
$11.02
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.32
Resistance Level
$10.24
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.57
Wall Street Target
$13.82
(+43.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-38.6%
Profit Margin
26.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.6 vs 8.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.38
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$9.15
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$8.93
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$9.56
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 12.8%)
$40.73
(+324%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.6, Growth: 12.8%)
$13.79
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.4, Growth: 12.8%)
$11.72
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 4.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.05
Bull Case
$6.41
(-35%)
Analyst growth -38.0%, PE expands to 5.1
Base Case
$5.83
(-41%)
Market implied -38.0%, PE stable at 4.6
Bear Case
$6.40
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 3.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.6 to 8.1
Stabilization Target:
$10.29
(+7.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 3:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:49 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is SUZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
