TBRG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TBRG - TruBridge, Inc. Common Stock

SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING SERVICES
$19.35
-0.23 (-1.17%) ▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 09, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TBRG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.86
Based on -0.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.96
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TBRG is currently trading at $19.35, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.39 to $22.15. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.6) is in line with its historical norms (9.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TBRG is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.90. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: TBRG has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.67 (+15.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $20.39 - $22.15
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 50th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.7%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($22.67)
  • CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.2%) - monitor closely

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $20.39 - $22.15
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$1.52 (7.8%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $18.90
Resistance Level $21.63
Current Trend Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.56
Wall Street Target $22.67 (+15.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -61.8%
Profit Margin 1.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -3.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 8.6 vs 9.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -3.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $18.91 (-3%)
2-Year Target $18.27 (-7%)
3-Year Target $17.65 (-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→10) $19.59 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: -5.5%) $43.08 (+120%)
Base: (SPY PE: 8.6, Growth: -5.5%) $16.54 (-16%)
Bear: (PE: 7.3, Growth: -5.5%) $14.06 (-28%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 8.91 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.20
Bull Case $23.64 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 9.4
Base Case $19.58 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 8.9
Bear Case $14.98 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 8.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.6 to 9.5
Stabilization Target: $21.73 (+11.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +11.0%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:43 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced TBRG Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TBRG price and gamma walls.

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