What is the fair value of TENB stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for TENB to be between $18.42 and $20.89. The current price is $17.11.

What is the analyst price target for TENB?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for TENB is $30.05. This implies a potential upside of 81.7% from current levels.

TENB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TENB - Tenable Holdings, Inc.

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

$17.11

0.57 (3.45%) ▲

5d: -15.59%

30d: -11.02%

90d: -29.0%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: May 05, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

TENB is down 14.2% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $17 2026-05-15 with 1,400 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →

Strength: 10.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: TENB is down 15.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 11.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$35.76

Based on 7.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$22.20

22.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TENB is currently trading at $17.11, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.42 to $20.89. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.0) compared to its historical average (12.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TENB is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $15.85, while resistance sits at $21.20. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.05 (+81.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Fair Price Range $18.42 - $20.89

Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 84.3%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.4%)
BULLISH: Trading 81.7% below Wall St target ($30.05)
WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -15.6% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $18.42 - $20.89

Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $15.85

Resistance Level $21.21

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 7.96

Wall Street Target $30.05 (+81.7%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 10.5%

Profit Margin -3.6%

Valuation Discount vs History -12.7% cheaper

PE vs Historical 8.0 vs 12.0 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -12.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $14.89 (-10%)

2-Year Target $13.40 (-19%)

3-Year Target $12.06 (-27%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8→12) $18.18 (+10%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 11.0%) $63.75 (+285%)

Base: (SPY PE: 8.0, Growth: 11.0%) $22.65 (+37%)

Bear: (PE: 6.8, Growth: 11.0%) $19.25 (+16%)

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.0 to 12.0

Stabilization Target: $24.94 (+50.8%)

PE Expansion Potential: +50.8%

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Last updated: March 30, 2026 1:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:41 PM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Arthur W Coviello Jr BUY 12000 shares 2026-02-09

Ro Khanna BUY 2026-02-06

Ro Khanna BUY 2026-01-30

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Advanced TENB Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TENB price and gamma walls.

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