TENB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TENB - Tenable Holdings, Inc.
$22.02
-0.04 (-0.18%)
▼
5d:
-4.72%
30d:
-6.42%
90d:
-23.66%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Feb 04, 2026
TODAY
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TENB shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TENB shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.16
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.69
7.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TENB is currently trading at $22.02, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.18 to $23.54. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.5) is in line with its historical norms (13.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TENB is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $21.26, while resistance sits at $23.32.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.63 (+57.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TENB is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $21.26, while resistance sits at $23.32.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.63 (+57.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$22.18 -
$23.54
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 57.3% below Wall St target ($34.63)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$22.18 -
$23.54
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.26
Resistance Level
$23.32
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.49
Wall Street Target
$34.63
(+57.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.2%
Profit Margin
-3.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.5 vs 13.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.34
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$20.68
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$20.03
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→14)
$21.98
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 15.3%)
$60.34
(+174%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.5, Growth: 15.3%)
$33.79
(+54%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.6, Growth: 15.3%)
$28.73
(+31%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.5 to 13.7
Stabilization Target:
$24.15
(+9.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.7%
Last updated: February 03, 2026 4:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:53 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:53 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TENB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
5
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Barron Anschutz
SELL
976 shares
2025-10-17
A Brooke Seawell
SELL
4622 shares
2025-09-04
Ro Khanna
BUY
2025-09-02
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Advanced TENB Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TENB price and gamma walls.
