TGTX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TGTX - TG Therapeutics, Inc.

PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
$29.43
-0.57 (-1.90%) β–Ό
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 02, 2026 29d
Smart Money Accumulation

TGTX is down 5.7% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $37 2026-03-20 with 542 OI. Call ratio: 78% View Scanner →

Strength: 5.7/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ“Š HOLD: TGTX is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.50
Based on -18.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.90
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TGTX is currently trading at $29.43, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.18 to $31.13. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.9) is in line with its historical norms (16.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TGTX is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $29.47. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $44.86 (+49.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range $29.18 - $31.13
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 80.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 49.5% below Wall St target ($44.86)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.7% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $29.18 - $31.13
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $29.47
Resistance Level $32.55
Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.90
Wall Street Target $44.86 (+49.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 92.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 12050.0%
Profit Margin 84.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.1% premium
PE vs Historical 16.9 vs 16.3 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $30.33 (+1%)
2-Year Target $30.66 (+2%)
3-Year Target $31.00 (+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 17β†’16) PE COMPRESSION $29.90 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: -40.8%) $28.86 (+-4%)
Base: (SPY PE: 16.9, Growth: -40.8%) $21.87 (-27%)
Bear: (PE: 14.4, Growth: -40.8%) $18.59 (-38%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 10.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.77
Bull Case $21.37 (-27%)
Analyst growth -35.9%, PE expands to 12.0
Base Case $19.42 (-34%)
Market implied -35.9%, PE stable at 10.9
Bear Case $20.61 (-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 5:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:27 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Sagar Lonial SELL 20852 shares 2025-09-11

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Advanced TGTX Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TGTX price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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