TMF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TMF - Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)

$36.57
-0.36 (-0.97%) ▼
5d: -4.94%
30d: -2.01%
90d: -12.64%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TMF shows balanced signals. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly. Monitor for clearer direction.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TMF is currently trading at $36.57, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.13 to $38.27.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TMF is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $36.27. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: TMF has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $37.13 - $38.27
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 52.9%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $37.13 - $38.27
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $36.27
Resistance Level $38.67
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Last updated: February 02, 2026 3:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:58 PM
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