TOWN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TOWN - Towne Bank

$35.66
0.66 (1.89%) β–²
5d: -1.36%
30d: +6.86%
90d: +9.09%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Apr 21, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ’‘ BUY OPPORTUNITY: TOWN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.9% decline. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$55.12
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.23
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TOWN is currently trading at $35.66, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.83 to $35.95. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.1) is in line with its historical norms (9.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TOWN is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $34.34, while resistance sits at $37.37.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.00 (+15.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range $33.83 - $35.95
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 39th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 64.2%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 39th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($41.00)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $33.83 - $35.95
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days) Β±$2.20 (6.2%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $34.34
Resistance Level $37.37
Current Trend Sideways

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.07
Wall Street Target $41.00 (+15.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 25.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -5.8%
Profit Margin 20.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 9.1 vs 9.6 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $34.98 (-2%)
2-Year Target $34.32 (-4%)
3-Year Target $33.67 (-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9β†’10) $35.64 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 11.8%) $122.62 (+244%)
Base: (SPY PE: 9.1, Growth: 11.8%) $49.86 (+40%)
Bear: (PE: 7.7, Growth: 11.8%) $42.38 (+19%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.23
Bull Case $70.80 (+102%)
Analyst growth 78.6%, PE expands to 17.8
Base Case $64.36 (+84%)
Market implied 78.6%, PE stable at 16.2
Bear Case $24.51 (-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.1 to 9.6
Stabilization Target: $37.75 (+5.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +5.9%
Last updated: February 02, 2026 6:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:00 PM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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