TOYO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TOYO - TOYO Co., Ltd Ordinary Shares
$7.33
-0.09 (-1.21%)
▼
5d:
-12.84%
30d:
-14.37%
90d:
+20.96%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Mar 31, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TOYO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TOYO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.76
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.79
25.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TOYO is currently trading at $7.33, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.64 to $8.48. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 3.4) is in line with its historical norms (3.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TOYO is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $7.30. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TOYO has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.00 (+145.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TOYO is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $7.30. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TOYO has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.00 (+145.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$7.64 -
$8.48
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 145.6% below Wall St target ($18.00)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-12.8%) - monitor closely
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$7.64 -
$8.48
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.30
Resistance Level
$9.00
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.44
Wall Street Target
$18.00
(+145.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-78.6%
Profit Margin
13.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
3.4 vs 3.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.10
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$6.88
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$6.67
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 3→4)
$7.36
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 173.1%)
$160.67
(+2092%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 3.4, Growth: 173.1%)
$24.74
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 2.9, Growth: 173.1%)
$21.03
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (3x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.11 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.75
Bull Case
$18.33
(+123%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 12.2
Base Case
$16.66
(+103%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 11.1
Bear Case
$5.66
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 3.4 to 3.8
Stabilization Target:
$8.09
(+10.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 11:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:13 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:13 AM
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