TOYO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TOYO - TOYO Co., Ltd Ordinary Shares
$7.84
0.49 (6.67%)
▲
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 12, 2026
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2 traders called TOYO this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: TOYO is 12.6% above fair value ($6.96). Market expects 2.3% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: TOYO is 12.6% above fair value ($6.96). Market expects 2.3% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.27
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.24
4.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TOYO is currently trading at $7.84, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.86 to $6.96. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 3.5) is in line with its historical norms (3.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TOYO is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $7.73. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: TOYO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.00 (+144.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TOYO is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $7.73. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: TOYO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.00 (+144.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$5.86 -
$6.96
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
Protect Your Profits
TOYO is technically overbought (RSI 73). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+12.6% above fair value)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+6.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading 144.9% below Wall St target ($18.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.3% growth with 0.7% revenue growth
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to 12.6% overvaluation
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$5.86 -
$6.96
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.10
Resistance Level
$7.73
Current Trend
Sideways
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.45
Wall Street Target
$18.00
(+144.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-78.6%
Profit Margin
13.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.3% premium
PE vs Historical
3.5 vs 3.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.52
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$7.69
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$7.87
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 3→3)
PE COMPRESSION
$7.30
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 173.1%)
$160.31
(+2081%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 3.5, Growth: 173.1%)
$24.81
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 2.9, Growth: 173.1%)
$21.09
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (3x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.75
Bull Case
$15.22
(+94%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 10.2
Base Case
$13.84
(+77%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 9.2
Bear Case
$4.71
(-40%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 8:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:26 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:26 AM
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