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TSLA Stock Price Prediction 2026

Tesla, Inc. Common Stock

$430.41
+$13.85 (+3.32%)

AI-powered price predictions based on fundamental analysis and growth projections

Last Updated: January 30, 2026
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AI TRADING RECOMMENDATION
Evaluate position
Key Signals:
  • • TTM Squeeze ON for 4 days - volatility compression
  • • Moving averages converging - equilibrium state
  • • Volume showing distribution (CMF: -0.1826)
  • • Recent pattern: Doji - Indecision pattern
MACD: Bearish | Volume: Distribution
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Volume Trend: Distribution

Selling Pressure Present - Distribution pattern observed

Chaikin Money Flow (CMF): -0.183
Money Flow Index (MFI): 57.6

Negative CMF indicates money flowing out of the stock. Exercise caution as this may signal distribution.

Options Analysis: 1-Year Target Strategy

Score: 86/100

Analysts project the stock to decline. Options analysis identifies premium selling opportunities (covered calls, credit spreads).

STRONG SELL PREMIUM - Excellent covered call opportunity. Target 14.4% below current price.
Growth Target (1Y)
$374.90
-14.4% (below current)
Best Strike Found
$500.00
Exp: Jan. 15, 2027, midnight
Call Premium
$64.59
14.7% of stock price
Breakeven Price
$564.59
⚠ Above target
Implied Probability
49.7%
Market's confidence
Value Score
-100.0
Overpriced
📉
STRONG SELL
Analysts expect stock to decline - Sell calls to collect premium
Seller's Advantage:
Premium Collected
$64.59
Profit if Target Hits
$64.59
ROI if Target Hits
+100.0%
Why This Works: Buyers lose 100.0% even if target hits. Premium is overpriced for -14.4% move.
Suggested Strategies: Covered Call (safest) Naked Call (risky) Credit Spread (defined risk)
Open Interest: 16,273 | Volume: 165
Data as of: Jan 30, 2026
How to Use This Analysis: Value Score shows profitability if the 1-year growth target is reached. Positive score = profitable for buyers. Negative score = profit opportunity for premium sellers (covered calls, credit spreads).
Price Targets by Timeframe
AI-based growth projections (not Wall Street analyst targets)
Timeframe Target Price Potential Return
30 Days $425.97 -1.0%
90 Days $416.53 -3.2%
6 Months $402.65 -6.4%
1 Year $374.90 -12.9%
2 Years EXTENDED $337.41 -21.6%
3 Years EXTENDED $303.67 -29.4%

More TSLA Analysis

Why is TSLA Moving? Buy or Sell TSLA? TSLA Full Analysis TSLA Trendline Analysis
TSLA Price Prediction Trendline

Scenario Analysis (1-Year Outlook)

Bull Case
30% Probability
$468.62 (+8.9%)

Best case scenario if strong fundamentals and market conditions align

Base Case
50% Probability
$374.90 (+-12.9%)

Expected scenario based on current growth trajectory

Bear Case
20% Probability
$262.43 (-39.0%)

Downside scenario if market headwinds or disappointing results

Technical Indicators

RSI (14)
48.9
Neutral
MACD Signal
Bearish
Trend
Uptrend
Money Flow (CMF)
-0.18

Key Fundamentals

P/E Ratio
293.51
Forward P/E
196.08
P/S Ratio (TTM)
15.00x
High Premium
Revenue Growth (QoQ)
0.1%
Earnings Growth (QoQ)
-0.4%
Market Cap
$1,434,958M
Analyst Target
$411.40
52-Week High
$438.25
52-Week Low
$415.48

Options Activity

Alert Score
85/100
Classification
Strong Alert
Unusual Activity
80.5
IV Spike
+83.6%

Recommendation: Strong unusual activity detected. Review for potential entry.

Investment Disclaimer: These price predictions are generated using AI models and historical data. They are not financial advice and should not be the sole basis for investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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