TSN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TSN - Tyson Foods, Inc.
$63.76
-0.16 (-0.25%)
▼
5d:
+6.8%
30d:
-1.89%
90d:
+8.88%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
TSN is down 3.4% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $62.5 2026-06-18 with 1,572 OI. Call ratio: 90% View Scanner →
Strength: 5.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TSN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TSN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$96.11
Based on 8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$59.68
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TSN is currently trading at $63.76, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $60.34 to $63.75. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.5) is in line with its historical norms (14.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TSN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $64.28. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TSN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TSN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $64.28. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TSN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$60.34 -
$63.75
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($68.36)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.4% growth with 5.1% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$60.34 -
$63.75
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$57.90
Resistance Level
$64.28
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.53
Wall Street Target
$68.36
(+6.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-76.2%
Profit Margin
0.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
14.5 vs 14.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$64.18
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$64.43
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$64.69
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$64.10
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 13.5%)
$143.88
(+125%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.5, Growth: 13.5%)
$93.35
(+46%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.4, Growth: 13.5%)
$79.34
(+24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 14.73 | Forward EPS (Implied): $4.05
Bull Case
$72.09
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 15.5
Base Case
$59.70
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 14.7
Bear Case
$45.67
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 13.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 4:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:29 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TSN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-29
John H Tyson
SELL
100301 shares
2025-11-28
Curt Calaway
SELL
6539 shares
2025-11-25
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