VRT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VRT - Vertiv Holdings Co Class A Common Stock

ELECTRONIC COMPONENTS, NEC
$238.43
-12.64 (-5.03%) ▼
5d: -6.86%
30d: -6.46%
90d: +42.28%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 22, 2026 22d
NEW THESIS The Datacenter CPU Renaissance (2026)

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Smart Money Distribution

VRT is up 4.6% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $190 2026-04-17 with 21,382 OI. Put ratio: 62% View Scanner →

Strength: 3.5/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VRT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$390.21
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$242.29
1.6% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VRT is currently trading at $238.43, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $246.99 to $266.79. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 31.3) is in line with its historical norms (32.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 199.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VRT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $248.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.0% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range $246.99 - $266.79
Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 70.0%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.0%)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($270.21)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.9% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $246.99 - $266.79
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $248.50
Resistance Level $282.05
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Mar 27, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 31.32
Wall Street Target $270.21 (+7.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 22.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 199.5%
Profit Margin 13.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 31.3 vs 32.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $247.56 (-1%)
2-Year Target $244.09 (-3%)
3-Year Target $240.67 (-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 31→33) $251.24 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 31.3, Growth: 30.5%) $557.65 (+122%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 30.5%) $398.77 (+59%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 30.5%) $338.95 (+35%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (48x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (31x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 47.62 | Forward EPS (Implied): $5.38
Bull Case $309.12 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 50.0
Base Case $256.00 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 47.6
Bear Case $195.84 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 42.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 31.3 to 32.7
Stabilization Target: $262.09 (+4.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +4.4%
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Last updated: March 30, 2026 10:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check

Is VRT showing a specific setup today?

RSI Divergence Check TTM Squeeze Check MACD Crossover Check Gamma Walls Check Unusual Activity Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
13
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Edward L Monser SELL 77294 shares 2026-03-06
Roger Fradin SELL 101666 shares 2026-02-27
Anders Karlborg SELL 30487 shares 2026-02-26

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