VTMX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VTMX - Corporacion Inmobiliaria Vesta, S.A.B de C.V., American Depositary Shares, each representing ten (10) Common Shares
$33.34
0.29 (0.88%)
▲
5d:
+2.05%
30d:
-4.66%
90d:
+6.96%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VTMX trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.3% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VTMX trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.3% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.91
Based on 4.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.13
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VTMX is currently trading at $33.34, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.97 to $35.16. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.5) compared to its historical average (15.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VTMX is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $33.71. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VTMX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VTMX is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $33.71. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VTMX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$31.97 -
$35.16
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($35.88)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$31.97 -
$35.16
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.27
Resistance Level
$33.71
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.51
Wall Street Target
$35.88
(+7.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-74.8%
Profit Margin
85.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.5 vs 15.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.91
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$30.53
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$29.22
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→15)
$33.31
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 4.6%)
$63.17
(+90%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.5, Growth: 4.6%)
$38.18
(+15%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.5, Growth: 4.6%)
$32.46
(-3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 11.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.81
Bull Case
$26.15
(-19%)
Analyst growth -24.7%, PE expands to 12.4
Base Case
$23.77
(-27%)
Market implied -24.7%, PE stable at 11.2
Bear Case
$21.45
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.5 to 15.4
Stabilization Target:
$38.01
(+14.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 01, 2026 3:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:42 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:42 AM
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