VTMX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VTMX - Corporacion Inmobiliaria Vesta, S.A.B de C.V., American Depositary Shares, each representing ten (10) Common Shares
$30.94
-0.56 (-1.78%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 17, 2026
16d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VTMX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VTMX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$62.15
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$38.59
19.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VTMX is currently trading at $30.94, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.90 to $32.13. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.7) is in line with its historical norms (14.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VTMX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $30.89. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VTMX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $30.89. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$30.90 -
$32.13
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($34.40)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$30.90 -
$32.13
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$30.89
Resistance Level
$32.68
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.71
Wall Street Target
$34.40
(+9.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-74.8%
Profit Margin
1.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.7 vs 14.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.34
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$31.19
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$31.03
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→15)
$31.44
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 26.5%)
$96.60
(+207%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.7, Growth: 26.5%)
$63.71
(+102%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.5, Growth: 26.5%)
$54.15
(+72%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (47x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 47.25 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.68
Bull Case
$70.69
(+129%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 52.0
Base Case
$64.26
(+108%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 47.3
Bear Case
$21.85
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 40.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.7 to 14.9
Stabilization Target:
$31.92
(+1.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.3%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 3:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:50 AM
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