WAB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

WAB - Wabtec Inc.

RAILROAD EQUIPMENT
$237.37
-3.74 (-1.55%) β–Ό
5d: -1.78%
30d: -10.07%
90d: +8.23%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your WAB Gains
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 22, 2026 21d
Smart Money Accumulation

WAB is down 3.6% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $230 2026-04-17 with 230 OI. Call ratio: 73% View Scanner →

Strength: 4.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ“Š HOLD: WAB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$392.20
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$243.53
2.5% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: WAB is currently trading at $237.37, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $240.92 to $261.71. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.0) is in line with its historical norms (21.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, WAB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $232.80. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: WAB has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $291.67 (+22.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Fair Price Range $240.92 - $261.71
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 50.0%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 22.9% below Wall St target ($291.67)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $240.92 - $261.71
Current vs Fair Value FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $232.80
Resistance Level $253.18
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 20.02
Wall Street Target $291.67 (+22.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 14.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -3.8%
Profit Margin 10.5%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 20.0 vs 21.6 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $231.44 (-3%)
2-Year Target $225.65 (-5%)
3-Year Target $220.01 (-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 20β†’22) $237.42 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 13.9%) $392.03 (+65%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.0, Growth: 13.9%) $351.09 (+48%)
Bear: (PE: 17.0, Growth: 13.9%) $298.43 (+26%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.82
Bull Case $449.90 (+86%)
Analyst growth 73.3%, PE expands to 38.1
Base Case $409.00 (+69%)
Market implied 73.3%, PE stable at 34.6
Bear Case $160.52 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.0 to 21.6
Stabilization Target: $256.15 (+7.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +7.9%
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Last updated: March 31, 2026 8:25 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:25 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gina Trombley SELL 4013 shares 2026-03-12
Rafael Santana SELL 1163 shares 2026-03-09
Sameer Gaur SELL 1150 shares 2026-02-26

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Advanced WAB Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's WAB price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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