WAY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WAY - Waystar Holding Corp. Common Stock
$23.46
-0.08 (-0.34%)
▼
5d:
-4.71%
30d:
-8.54%
90d:
-28.87%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
29d
Smart Money Accumulation
WAY is down 8.8% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $27.5 2026-04-17 with 162 OI. Call ratio: 87% View Scanner →
Strength: 8.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: WAY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: WAY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.91
Based on 8.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.13
19.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WAY is currently trading at $23.46, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.09 to $25.91. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.8) compared to its historical average (16.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WAY is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.36. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: WAY has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $36.77 (+56.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WAY is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.36. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: WAY has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $36.77 (+56.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$24.09 -
$25.91
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding WAY? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 56.2% below Wall St target ($36.77)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$24.09 -
$25.91
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.36
Resistance Level
$25.57
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.78
Wall Street Target
$36.77
(+56.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
24.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-2.7%
Profit Margin
10.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.8 vs 16.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.42
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$19.49
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$17.74
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→17)
$23.45
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 13.2%)
$59.81
(+154%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.8, Growth: 13.2%)
$34.13
(+45%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.9, Growth: 13.2%)
$29.01
(+23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 39.49 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.61
Bull Case
$53.00
(+115%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 43.4
Base Case
$48.18
(+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 39.5
Bear Case
$16.38
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.8 to 16.9
Stabilization Target:
$31.12
(+32.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+32.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 4:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:29 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WAY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Eric L (Ric) Sinclair III
SELL
40225 shares
2026-01-20
Eric L (Ric) Sinclair III
SELL
9701 shares
2025-12-22
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SELL
8623 shares
2025-12-10
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Advanced WAY Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's WAY price and gamma walls.
