WAY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WAY - Waystar Holding Corp. Common Stock
$26.56
-0.15 (-0.56%)
▼
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 17, 2026
17d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: WAY is down 11.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: WAY is down 11.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$48.27
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.97
11.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WAY is currently trading at $26.56, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.89 to $33.13. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.2) compared to its historical average (19.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 466.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WAY is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.90 (+75.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WAY is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.90 (+75.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$28.89 -
$33.13
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding WAY? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 75.6% below Wall St target ($46.90)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -11.3% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$28.89 -
$33.13
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.25
Resistance Level
$30.35
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.25
Wall Street Target
$46.90
(+75.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
466.7%
Profit Margin
10.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.3 vs 19.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.03
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$23.45
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$21.97
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→20)
$26.77
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 12.5%)
$52.14
(+95%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.3, Growth: 12.5%)
$38.01
(+42%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.8, Growth: 12.5%)
$32.31
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (43x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 43.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.65
Bull Case
$62.08
(+132%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 47.8
Base Case
$56.44
(+111%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 43.4
Bear Case
$19.19
(-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 36.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.3 to 19.8
Stabilization Target:
$32.54
(+21.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.8%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:40 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WAY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
14
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Eric L (Ric) Sinclair III
SELL
9701 shares
2025-10-20
Christopher L Schremser
SELL
8623 shares
2025-10-10
Matthew J Hawkins
SELL
12800 shares
2025-09-23
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's WAY price and gamma walls.
