WLY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WLY - John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Class A
$31.23
0.49 (1.59%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WLY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WLY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$48.70
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.24
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WLY is currently trading at $31.23, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.61 to $31.49. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.0) compared to its historical average (7.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 13.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WLY is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $31.91. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $60.00 (+95.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WLY is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $31.91. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $60.00 (+95.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$30.61 -
$31.49
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
47th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 47th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 95.2% below Wall St target ($60.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$30.61 -
$31.49
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.55
(8.2%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$30.26
Resistance Level
$31.91
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.99
Wall Street Target
$60.00
(+95.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
13.5%
Profit Margin
6.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.0 vs 7.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.48
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$28.27
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$27.11
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$30.66
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 10.0%)
$130.60
(+325%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.0, Growth: 10.0%)
$40.91
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.9, Growth: 10.0%)
$34.78
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.77 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.87
Bull Case
$68.99
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 18.5
Base Case
$62.72
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 16.8
Bear Case
$21.32
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.0 to 7.9
Stabilization Target:
$34.76
(+13.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.1%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:15 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WLY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's WLY price and gamma walls.
