WY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WY - Weyerhaeuser Company
$24.47
0.61 (2.54%)
▲
5d:
+5.63%
30d:
-0.26%
90d:
+3.05%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
23d
Smart Money Accumulation
WY is down 6.5% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $26 2026-04-17 with 1,794 OI. Call ratio: 66% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WY trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -21.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WY trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -21.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$35.07
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.77
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WY is currently trading at $24.46, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.35 to $24.87. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 33.1) compared to its historical average (68.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 21.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WY is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $24.66. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: WY has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.82 (+33.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WY is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $24.66. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: WY has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.82 (+33.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$23.35 -
$24.87
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 33.4% below Wall St target ($31.82)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$23.35 -
$24.87
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.41
Resistance Level
$24.67
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
33.13
Wall Street Target
$31.82
(+33.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-9.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-9.1%
Profit Margin
4.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-21.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
33.1 vs 68.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-21.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.47
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$19.33
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$17.39
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33→69)
$36.02
(+51%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 33.1, Growth: 151.2%)
$80.53
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 151.2%)
$54.45
(+128%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 151.2%)
$46.29
(+94%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (50x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (33x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 49.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.45
Bull Case
$39.56
(+71%)
Analyst growth 60.1%, PE expands to 54.9
Base Case
$35.97
(+55%)
Market implied 60.1%, PE stable at 49.9
Bear Case
$15.28
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 42.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 33.1 to 68.6
Stabilization Target:
$49.41
(+107.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+107.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 1:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:34 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
4
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
James Calvin O'rourke
BUY
4000 shares
2026-02-20
Richard Beckwitt
BUY
20000 shares
2026-02-19
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-01-06
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's WY price and gamma walls.
