YORW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
YORW - York Water Co
$33.58
0.73 (2.22%)
▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: YORW is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: YORW is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$53.65
Based on 10.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.31
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: YORW is currently trading at $33.58, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.03 to $33.53. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.8) is in line with its historical norms (20.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, YORW is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $34.09. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.00 (+24.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, YORW is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $34.09. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.00 (+24.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$32.03 -
$33.53
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding YORW? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.8% below Wall St target ($41.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$32.03 -
$33.53
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.23
(3.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$32.57
Resistance Level
$34.09
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.79
Wall Street Target
$41.00
(+24.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5.3%
Profit Margin
26.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.1% premium
PE vs Historical
20.8 vs 20.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.88
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$32.92
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$32.95
(+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→21)
PE COMPRESSION
$32.80
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 17.0%)
$56.48
(+72%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.8, Growth: 17.0%)
$52.66
(+60%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.7, Growth: 17.0%)
$44.76
(+36%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.06 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.39
Bull Case
$41.81
(+27%)
Analyst growth 13.7%, PE expands to 26.5
Base Case
$38.01
(+16%)
Market implied 13.7%, PE stable at 24.1
Bear Case
$22.74
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:40 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is YORW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
7
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Joseph Thomas Hand
BUY
338 shares
2025-10-16
Mark S Snyder
BUY
11 shares
2025-10-16
Matthew E Poff
BUY
5 shares
2025-10-16
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Advanced YORW Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's YORW price and gamma walls.
