YORW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
YORW - York Water Co
$31.60
0.14 (0.45%)
▲
5d:
+3.78%
30d:
-2.74%
90d:
-0.16%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 8, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: YORW trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -3.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: YORW trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -3.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$49.52
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.75
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: YORW is currently trading at $31.60, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.30 to $32.31. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.8) compared to its historical average (19.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 0.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, YORW is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $31.85. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: YORW has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (3th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, YORW is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $31.85. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: YORW has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (3th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$30.30 -
$32.31
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
3th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 3th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($34.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$30.30 -
$32.31
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.97
(3.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.69
Resistance Level
$31.85
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 8, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.75
Wall Street Target
$34.00
(+7.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
0.1%
Profit Margin
25.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.8 vs 19.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.43
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$29.30
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$28.22
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→20)
$31.63
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 9.9%)
$48.57
(+54%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.8, Growth: 9.9%)
$41.92
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.1, Growth: 9.9%)
$35.63
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.49 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.39
Bull Case
$42.08
(+39%)
Analyst growth 28.1%, PE expands to 23.6
Base Case
$38.25
(+26%)
Market implied 28.1%, PE stable at 21.5
Bear Case
$20.31
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.8 to 19.9
Stabilization Target:
$35.42
(+12.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 08, 2026 6:23 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:23 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:23 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is YORW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
15
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Joseph Thomas Hand
BUY
15 shares
2026-03-16
Alexandra C Chiaruttini
BUY
46 shares
2026-01-16
Ashley M Grimm
BUY
14 shares
2026-01-16
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