ABCB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ABCB - Ameris Bancorp
$77.99
1.46 (1.91%)
▲
5d:
+1.87%
30d:
-1.68%
90d:
+2.81%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 27, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ABCB shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ABCB shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$107.15
Based on 5.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$66.53
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ABCB is currently trading at $77.99, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $75.01 to $79.80. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.0) is in line with its historical norms (11.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 16.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABCB is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $77.95. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ABCB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $89.93 (+17.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABCB is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $77.95. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ABCB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $89.93 (+17.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$75.01 -
$79.80
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($89.93)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$75.01 -
$79.80
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.18
(4.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$73.20
Resistance Level
$77.95
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.03
Wall Street Target
$89.93
(+17.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.9%
Profit Margin
36.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.0 vs 11.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$74.54
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$72.60
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$70.71
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→12)
$76.31
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 6.7%)
$188.35
(+146%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.0, Growth: 6.7%)
$92.93
(+21%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.4, Growth: 6.7%)
$78.99
(+3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.41 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.00
Bull Case
$94.78
(+25%)
Analyst growth 15.7%, PE expands to 13.7
Base Case
$86.16
(+14%)
Market implied 15.7%, PE stable at 12.4
Bear Case
$50.65
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.0 to 11.9
Stabilization Target:
$82.59
(+7.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 4:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:14 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:14 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ABCB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Leo J Hill
SELL
2026-03-09
Douglas D Strange
SELL
1 shares
2026-02-24
Nicole S Stokes
SELL
1 shares
2026-02-24
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