AEE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AEE - Ameren Corporation
$103.28
-0.49 (-0.47%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 11, 2026
9d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AEE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AEE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$132.04
Based on 5.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$81.98
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AEE is currently trading at $103.28, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $99.74 to $103.30. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.3) is in line with its historical norms (19.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEE is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $101.57. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AEE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEE is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $101.57. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AEE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$99.74 -
$103.30
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($111.31)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$99.74 -
$103.30
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$101.57
Resistance Level
$104.87
Current Trend
Sideways
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.28
Wall Street Target
$111.31
(+7.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
24.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
38.2%
Profit Margin
16.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.5% premium
PE vs Historical
19.3 vs 19.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$103.80
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$104.32
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$104.84
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$103.30
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 6.7%)
$145.11
(+41%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.3, Growth: 6.7%)
$125.47
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.4, Growth: 6.7%)
$106.65
(+3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.20
Bull Case
$117.36
(+14%)
Analyst growth 3.0%, PE expands to 21.9
Base Case
$106.69
(+3%)
Market implied 3.0%, PE stable at 19.9
Bear Case
$70.43
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 4:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:11 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:11 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AEE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Julie Johnson
SELL
2025-09-25
Gwendolyn G Mizell
SELL
1000 shares
2025-08-22
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