NEE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NEE - NextEra Energy, Inc.
$95.68
0.83 (0.88%)
▲
5d:
+2.53%
30d:
+4.87%
90d:
+4.08%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
NEE is down 4.0% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $120 2026-06-18 with 21,754 OI. Call ratio: 66% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.6/10
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3 traders called NEE this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NEE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NEE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$126.20
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$78.36
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NEE is currently trading at $95.68, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $92.02 to $95.97. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.8) is in line with its historical norms (20.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NEE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $92.58, while resistance sits at $98.75.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NEE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $92.58, while resistance sits at $98.75.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$92.02 -
$95.97
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($98.93)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$92.02 -
$95.97
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$92.58
Resistance Level
$98.75
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.80
Wall Street Target
$98.93
(+3.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
160.0%
Profit Margin
29.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.5% premium
PE vs Historical
21.8 vs 20.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$97.12
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$98.57
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$100.05
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→21)
PE COMPRESSION
$95.94
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 9.2%)
$126.14
(+32%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.2%)
$124.75
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 9.2%)
$106.04
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.07 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.94
Bull Case
$116.24
(+22%)
Analyst growth 11.4%, PE expands to 26.5
Base Case
$105.68
(+10%)
Market implied 11.4%, PE stable at 24.1
Bear Case
$64.50
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 6:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:31 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:31 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NEE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
10
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Rick Larsen
BUY
2026-04-07
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-19
Richard McCormick
SELL
2026-03-19
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