AKAM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AKAM - Akamai Technologies Inc
$97.15
-2.20 (-2.21%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 19, 2026
18d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AKAM is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: AKAM is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$110.31
Based on 4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$68.50
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AKAM is currently trading at $97.15, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $86.68 to $96.56. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.5) compared to its historical average (12.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AKAM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $89.23, while resistance sits at $104.97.
Market Sentiment: AKAM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AKAM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $89.23, while resistance sits at $104.97.
Market Sentiment: AKAM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$86.68 -
$96.56
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AKAM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($101.64)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$86.68 -
$96.56
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$89.23
Resistance Level
$104.98
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.54
Wall Street Target
$101.64
(+2.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
155.3%
Profit Margin
12.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.3% premium
PE vs Historical
13.5 vs 12.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$102.63
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$106.02
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$109.51
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$99.47
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 4.2%)
$184.99
(+86%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.5, Growth: 4.2%)
$112.34
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.5, Growth: 4.2%)
$95.49
(-4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.41
Bull Case
$224.62
(+131%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 32.9
Base Case
$204.20
(+110%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 29.9
Bear Case
$69.43
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:38 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AKAM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Paul C Joseph
SELL
5000 shares
2025-09-15
Robert Blumofe
SELL
3000 shares
2025-08-22
Aaron Ahola
SELL
4000 shares
2025-08-20
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Advanced AKAM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AKAM price and gamma walls.
