AMN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

AMN - AMN Healthcare Services

SERVICES-HELP SUPPLY SERVICES
$18.73
-0.18 (-0.95%) ▼
5d: +1.85%
30d: -3.85%
90d: +16.34%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
Smart Money Distribution

AMN is up 3.6% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $20 2026-05-15 with 13 OI. Put ratio: 93% View Scanner →

Strength: 6.1/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AMN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 9.7% decline. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.23
Based on -20.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.49
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: AMN is currently trading at $18.73, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.31 to $20.80. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.9) compared to its historical average (22.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 321.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, AMN is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $17.48, while resistance sits at $19.62.

Market Sentiment: AMN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.21 (+17.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range $18.31 - $20.80
Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 63.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($22.21)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $18.31 - $20.80
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$1.64 (8.8%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $17.48
Resistance Level $19.63
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.87
Wall Street Target $22.21 (+17.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 321.3%
Profit Margin -3.5%
Valuation Discount vs History -9.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 16.9 vs 22.9 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -9.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $17.08 (-10%)
2-Year Target $15.42 (-19%)
3-Year Target $13.92 (-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 17→23) $18.90 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: -44.9%) $18.30 (+-3%)
Base: (SPY PE: 16.9, Growth: -44.9%) $13.79 (-27%)
Bear: (PE: 14.3, Growth: -44.9%) $11.72 (-38%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.9 to 22.9
Stabilization Target: $25.67 (+35.7%)
PE Expansion Potential: +35.7%
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Last updated: March 30, 2026 4:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:30 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced AMN Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AMN price and gamma walls.

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