AMT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMT - American Tower Corporation
$171.02
-1.56 (-0.90%)
▼
5d:
+2.24%
30d:
-10.11%
90d:
-3.23%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AMT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AMT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$223.55
Based on 5.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$138.81
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMT is currently trading at $171.02, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $173.83 to $189.28. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.8) is in line with its historical norms (25.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMT is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $165.08, while resistance sits at $185.72.
Market Sentiment: AMT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $215.38 (+25.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMT is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $165.08, while resistance sits at $185.72.
Market Sentiment: AMT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $215.38 (+25.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$173.83 -
$189.28
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.9% below Wall St target ($215.38)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$173.83 -
$189.28
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$165.08
Resistance Level
$185.72
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.76
Wall Street Target
$215.38
(+25.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-33.2%
Profit Margin
23.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
24.8 vs 25.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$168.45
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$165.93
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$163.44
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→26)
$171.00
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.8, Growth: 6.6%)
$207.08
(+21%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 6.6%)
$186.96
(+9%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 6.6%)
$158.91
(-7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.80 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.39
Bull Case
$249.25
(+41%)
Analyst growth 28.2%, PE expands to 36.1
Base Case
$226.59
(+28%)
Market implied 28.2%, PE stable at 32.8
Bear Case
$120.22
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.8 to 25.9
Stabilization Target:
$178.93
(+4.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 4:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:08 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:08 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
7
Buys
4
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Rajesh Kalathur
BUY
2671 shares
2026-03-10
Eugene M Noel
SELL
41209 shares
2026-03-02
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-06
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