WY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WY - Weyerhaeuser Company
$23.35
0.25 (1.08%)
▲
5d:
-1.48%
30d:
-3.55%
90d:
-13.65%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
WY is down 3.3% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $27 2026-06-18 with 4,870 OI. Call ratio: 74% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WY appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -17.5% annual earnings decline despite 97% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WY appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -17.5% annual earnings decline despite 97% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$34.61
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.49
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WY is currently trading at $23.35, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.69 to $24.96. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 32.9) compared to its historical average (58.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 17.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 96.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WY is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.93. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.36 (+34.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WY is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.93. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.36 (+34.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$23.69 -
$24.96
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 34.3% below Wall St target ($31.36)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.69 -
$24.96
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.93
Resistance Level
$25.05
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
32.85
Wall Street Target
$31.36
(+34.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
96.6%
Profit Margin
5.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-17.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
32.9 vs 58.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-17.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.02
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$18.91
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$17.02
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33→59)
$30.32
(+30%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 32.8, Growth: 118.4%)
$78.81
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 118.4%)
$52.88
(+127%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 118.4%)
$44.95
(+93%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (41x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (33x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 41.25 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.56
Bull Case
$32.26
(+38%)
Analyst growth 26.9%, PE expands to 45.4
Base Case
$29.32
(+26%)
Market implied 26.9%, PE stable at 41.3
Bear Case
$15.71
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 35.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 32.8 to 58.5
Stabilization Target:
$41.59
(+78.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+78.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 10:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:51 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:51 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
2
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
James Calvin O'rourke
BUY
4000 shares
2026-02-20
Richard Beckwitt
BUY
20000 shares
2026-02-19
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's WY price and gamma walls.
