APA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
APA - APA Corporation Common Stock
$25.89
-0.52 (-1.97%)
▼
5d:
+1.93%
30d:
+5.85%
90d:
+15.58%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Feb 25, 2026
21d
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1 traders called APA this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: APA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: APA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.46
Based on -17.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.63
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: APA is currently trading at $25.89, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.50 to $26.18. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.9) compared to its historical average (9.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APA is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $24.98, while resistance sits at $27.49.
Market Sentiment: APA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APA is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $24.98, while resistance sits at $27.49.
Market Sentiment: APA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$24.50 -
$26.18
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($26.26)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 7.9% growth which is achievable
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$24.50 -
$26.18
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.98
Resistance Level
$27.49
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.88
Wall Street Target
$26.26
(+1.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-16.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
14.5%
Profit Margin
16.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.9% premium
PE vs Historical
11.9 vs 9.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.94
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$30.14
(+16%)
3-Year Target
$32.52
(+26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$26.02
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -38.2%)
$35.44
(+37%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.9, Growth: -38.2%)
$18.87
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.5, Growth: -38.2%)
$15.10
(-42%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 6.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.20
Bull Case
$15.08
(-42%)
Analyst growth -48.1%, PE expands to 6.9
Base Case
$13.71
(-47%)
Market implied -48.1%, PE stable at 6.3
Bear Case
$17.96
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 03, 2026 3:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:04 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:04 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is APA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced APA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's APA price and gamma walls.
