CTRA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CTRA - Coterra Energy Inc.
$32.56
-3.07 (-8.62%)
▼
5d:
-8.74%
30d:
-6.73%
90d:
+6.79%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 6, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
CTRA is down 9.3% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $45 2026-07-17 with 25,383 OI. Call ratio: 89% View Scanner →
Strength: 8.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CTRA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CTRA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.82
Based on -4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.27
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CTRA is currently trading at $32.56, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.24 to $35.26. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.0) is in line with its historical norms (11.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 20.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTRA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $32.46. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: CTRA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.43 (+15.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTRA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $32.46. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: CTRA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.43 (+15.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$32.24 -
$35.26
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CTRA? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-8.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($37.43)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.7% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$32.24 -
$35.26
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$32.46
Resistance Level
$36.32
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 6, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.01
Wall Street Target
$37.43
(+15.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.6%
Profit Margin
24.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.0 vs 11.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.91
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$31.27
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$30.65
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→12)
$32.57
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: -12.2%)
$64.62
(+99%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.0, Growth: -12.2%)
$32.44
(0%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.4, Growth: -12.2%)
$27.58
(-15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.91 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.24
Bull Case
$51.75
(+59%)
Analyst growth 32.0%, PE expands to 17.5
Base Case
$47.04
(+45%)
Market implied 32.0%, PE stable at 15.9
Bear Case
$24.23
(-26%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.0 to 11.7
Stabilization Target:
$34.60
(+6.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 08, 2026 7:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:06 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CTRA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-02-10
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2025-12-19
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2025-11-18
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Advanced CTRA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CTRA price and gamma walls.
