APH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
APH - Amphenol Corporation
$144.93
0.85 (0.59%)
▲
5d:
-6.83%
30d:
+7.24%
90d:
+4.18%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Apr 21, 2026
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1 traders called APH this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: APH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: APH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$212.95
Based on 10.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$132.23
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: APH is currently trading at $144.93, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $138.19 to $153.66. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 28.2) compared to its historical average (33.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 57.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APH is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $140.00, while resistance sits at $167.04.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $168.21 (+16.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APH is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $140.00, while resistance sits at $167.04.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $168.21 (+16.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$138.19 -
$153.66
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding APH? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($168.21)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.8% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$138.19 -
$153.66
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$140.00
Resistance Level
$167.04
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.16
Wall Street Target
$168.21
(+16.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
49.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
57.8%
Profit Margin
18.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
28.2 vs 33.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$136.52
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$128.61
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$121.15
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→34)
$145.00
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 28.2, Growth: 17.4%)
$234.33
(+62%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 17.4%)
$185.60
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 17.4%)
$157.76
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (45x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (28x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 44.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.21
Bull Case
$254.15
(+75%)
Analyst growth 60.4%, PE expands to 49.4
Base Case
$231.04
(+59%)
Market implied 60.4%, PE stable at 44.9
Bear Case
$97.97
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 38.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 28.2 to 33.7
Stabilization Target:
$173.47
(+19.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.7%
Last updated: February 02, 2026 6:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:41 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:41 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is APH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Val T. Hoyle
SELL
2025-09-23
Craig A Lampo
SELL
40076 shares
2025-08-25
David M Silverman
SELL
100000 shares
2025-08-25
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's APH price and gamma walls.
