TEL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TEL - TE Connectivity plc
$206.69
-0.97 (-0.47%)
▼
5d:
-1.6%
30d:
-11.73%
90d:
-8.32%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 22, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
TEL is up 3.3% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $195 2026-06-18 with 1,593 OI. Put ratio: 72% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.8/10
Get Alerted When TEL Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
2 traders called TEL this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TEL appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -4.6% annual earnings decline despite 7150% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TEL appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -4.6% annual earnings decline despite 7150% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$352.33
Based on 8.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$218.77
5.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TEL is currently trading at $206.69, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $205.40 to $232.63. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.4) compared to its historical average (18.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 7150.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $202.42. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $264.47 (+28.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $202.42. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $264.47 (+28.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$205.40 -
$232.63
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.0% below Wall St target ($264.47)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$205.40 -
$232.63
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$202.42
Resistance Level
$217.49
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.37
Wall Street Target
$264.47
(+28.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7150.0%
Profit Margin
15.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.4 vs 18.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$197.18
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$188.11
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$179.46
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→19)
$207.14
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 12.3%)
$394.46
(+91%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.4, Growth: 12.3%)
$293.06
(+42%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.9, Growth: 12.3%)
$249.10
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.69 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.79
Bull Case
$301.23
(+45%)
Analyst growth 28.9%, PE expands to 23.9
Base Case
$273.85
(+32%)
Market implied 28.9%, PE stable at 21.7
Bear Case
$144.43
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.4 to 18.9
Stabilization Target:
$238.57
(+15.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 5:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:34 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is TEL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Shadrak W Kroeger
SELL
9400 shares
2026-04-08
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-18
Shadrak W Kroeger
SELL
9400 shares
2026-03-02
Top Rated Electronic Components Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Electronic Components by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CLS
Celestica Inc. |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$443 | 57 HOLD |
|
APH
Amphenol Corporation |
BUY
18 analysts |
$182 | 52 HOLD |
|
FLEX
Flex Ltd |
STRONG BUY
11 analysts |
$156 | 55 HOLD |
|
GLW
Corning Incorporated |
BUY
14 analysts |
$196 | 60 HOLD |
|
BELFB
Bel Fuse B Inc |
STRONG BUY
5 analysts |
$309 | 55 HOLD |
Advanced TEL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TEL price and gamma walls.