APPN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
APPN - Appian Corporation Class A Common Stock
$27.90
-0.96 (-3.33%)
▼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 18, 2026
17d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: APPN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: APPN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$37.48
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.27
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: APPN is currently trading at $27.90, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.60 to $35.50. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 37.5) compared to its historical average (45.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APPN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $27.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: APPN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.00 (+42.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APPN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $27.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: APPN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.00 (+42.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$29.60 -
$35.50
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
85.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding APPN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 42.1% below Wall St target ($41.00)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.1% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$29.60 -
$35.50
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.59
Resistance Level
$31.20
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
37.49
Wall Street Target
$41.00
(+42.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.4%
Profit Margin
-1.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
37.5 vs 45.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.10
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$25.45
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$23.89
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 37→45)
$28.87
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 37.5, Growth: 42.0%)
$82.64
(+186%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 42.0%)
$49.16
(+70%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 42.0%)
$41.78
(+45%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 37.5 to 45.3
Stabilization Target:
$34.87
(+20.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.8%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 5:17 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:17 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:17 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is APPN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced APPN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's APPN price and gamma walls.
