MDB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MDB - MongoDB, Inc. Class A
$312.16
9.07 (2.99%)
▲
5d:
+4.24%
30d:
+24.3%
90d:
-15.27%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 28, 2026
9d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: MDB is 8.3% above its trading range ($288.36). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: MDB is 8.3% above its trading range ($288.36). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$243.20
Based on 11.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$151.01
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MDB is currently trading at $312.16, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $242.05 to $288.36. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 54.8) compared to its historical average (65.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 2.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MDB is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $317.21. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MDB has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $348.49 (+11.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MDB is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $317.21. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MDB has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $348.49 (+11.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$242.05 -
$288.36
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MDB? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+8.3% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($348.49)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$242.05 -
$288.36
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$255.62
Resistance Level
$317.21
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
54.75
Wall Street Target
$348.49
(+11.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
26.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.2%
Profit Margin
-2.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
54.8 vs 65.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$293.43
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$275.82
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$259.28
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 55→66)
$312.07
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 54.8, Growth: 18.8%)
$523.01
(+68%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 18.8%)
$210.83
(-33%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.8, Growth: 18.8%)
$179.20
(-43%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 54.8 to 65.9
Stabilization Target:
$375.73
(+20.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 6:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:03 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MDB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
16
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Dwight A Merriman
SELL
4000 shares
2026-04-16
Dwight A Merriman
SELL
8000 shares
2026-04-14
Hope F Cochran
SELL
1566 shares
2026-04-01
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Advanced MDB Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MDB price and gamma walls.
