MDB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MDB - MongoDB, Inc. Class A
$354.88
-4.50 (-1.25%)
▼
5d:
+20.67%
30d:
-10.94%
90d:
+42.32%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 25, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 9.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MDB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MDB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$243.20
Based on 11.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$151.01
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MDB is currently trading at $354.88, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $314.14 to $368.26. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 62.2) is in line with its historical norms (64.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 2.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MDB is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $292.72, while resistance sits at $412.00.
Market Sentiment: MDB has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $394.68 (+11.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MDB is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $292.72, while resistance sits at $412.00.
Market Sentiment: MDB has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $394.68 (+11.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$314.14 -
$368.26
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($394.68)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$314.14 -
$368.26
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$292.72
Resistance Level
$412.00
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
62.24
Wall Street Target
$394.68
(+11.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.2%
Profit Margin
-1.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
62.2 vs 64.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$350.98
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$347.12
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$343.30
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 62→64)
$355.19
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 62.2, Growth: 18.8%)
$594.59
(+68%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 18.8%)
$208.06
(-41%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 18.8%)
$176.85
(-50%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 62.2 to 64.4
Stabilization Target:
$367.18
(+3.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 1:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:53 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:53 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MDB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Dwight A Merriman
SELL
4000 shares
2026-04-16
Dwight A Merriman
SELL
8000 shares
2026-04-14
Hope F Cochran
SELL
1566 shares
2026-04-01
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Advanced MDB Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MDB price and gamma walls.
