BKH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BKH - Black Hills Corporation
$69.12
0.42 (0.61%)
▲
5d:
+1.3%
30d:
-6.16%
90d:
-0.27%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BKH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BKH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$94.23
Based on 5.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$58.51
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BKH is currently trading at $69.12, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $69.77 to $74.07. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.0) is in line with its historical norms (16.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 0.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BKH is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $67.45. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BKH has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $81.25 (+17.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BKH is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $67.45. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BKH has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $81.25 (+17.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$69.77 -
$74.07
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($81.25)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$69.77 -
$74.07
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$67.45
Resistance Level
$72.28
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.98
Wall Street Target
$81.25
(+17.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
0.9%
Profit Margin
12.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.0 vs 16.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$67.60
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$66.11
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$64.66
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→16)
$69.07
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 6.0%)
$122.96
(+78%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.0, Growth: 6.0%)
$82.40
(+19%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.7, Growth: 6.0%)
$70.04
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.05 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.98
Bull Case
$86.53
(+27%)
Analyst growth 16.0%, PE expands to 18.8
Base Case
$78.66
(+15%)
Market implied 16.0%, PE stable at 17.1
Bear Case
$46.13
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.0 to 16.0
Stabilization Target:
$73.84
(+6.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 9:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:00 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:00 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BKH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kimberly F Nooney
SELL
14500 shares
2025-11-10
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