BKH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BKH - Black Hills Corporation
$72.98
0.17 (0.23%)
▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 04, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BKH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BKH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$90.38
Based on 5.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$56.12
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BKH is currently trading at $72.98, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $69.60 to $72.74. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.8) is in line with its historical norms (16.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BKH is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $71.12. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BKH is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $71.12. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$69.60 -
$72.74
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
49.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BKH? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($79.25)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.0% growth with 7.1% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$69.60 -
$72.74
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$71.12
Resistance Level
$74.23
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.76
Wall Street Target
$79.25
(+8.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-1.8%
Profit Margin
12.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.0% premium
PE vs Historical
16.8 vs 16.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$73.54
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$74.27
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$75.02
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$72.97
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 6.0%)
$115.32
(+58%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.8, Growth: 6.0%)
$86.66
(+19%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.2, Growth: 6.0%)
$73.66
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.22 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.96
Bull Case
$87.09
(+19%)
Analyst growth 9.7%, PE expands to 20.0
Base Case
$79.18
(+9%)
Market implied 9.7%, PE stable at 18.2
Bear Case
$49.07
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 9:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:58 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BKH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced BKH Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BKH price and gamma walls.
