SR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SR - Spire Inc.
$85.43
-0.69 (-0.80%)
▼
5d:
-0.32%
30d:
-8.67%
90d:
-6.98%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$143.41
Based on 10.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$89.05
4.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SR is currently trading at $85.43, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $87.18 to $93.09. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.2) is in line with its historical norms (15.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 31.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $84.28. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $98.78 (+15.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $84.28. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $98.78 (+15.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$87.18 -
$93.09
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($98.78)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$87.18 -
$93.09
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$84.28
Resistance Level
$91.10
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.21
Wall Street Target
$98.78
(+15.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
31.0%
Profit Margin
13.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.2 vs 15.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$84.49
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$83.56
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$82.64
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→16)
$85.32
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 16.6%)
$196.73
(+130%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.2, Growth: 16.6%)
$135.55
(+59%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.9, Growth: 16.6%)
$115.22
(+35%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.94
Bull Case
$107.73
(+26%)
Analyst growth 13.7%, PE expands to 19.2
Base Case
$97.94
(+15%)
Market implied 13.7%, PE stable at 17.4
Bear Case
$58.56
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.2 to 15.7
Stabilization Target:
$88.20
(+3.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 10:17 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:17 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:17 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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