SR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SR - Spire Inc.
$79.68
1.68 (2.15%)
▲
5d:
+0.49%
30d:
-2.92%
90d:
-12.39%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$166.64
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$103.47
23.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SR is currently trading at $79.68, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $77.72 to $82.54. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.4) is in line with its historical norms (15.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 31.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SR is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $79.69. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $96.00 (+20.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SR is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $79.69. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $96.00 (+20.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$77.72 -
$82.54
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.5% below Wall St target ($96.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$77.72 -
$82.54
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$79.69
Resistance Level
$87.16
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.43
Wall Street Target
$96.00
(+20.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
31.0%
Profit Margin
13.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.4 vs 15.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$77.85
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$76.06
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$74.31
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→16)
$79.80
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 37.2%)
$310.75
(+290%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.4, Growth: 37.2%)
$205.93
(+158%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.3, Growth: 37.2%)
$175.04
(+120%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.94
Bull Case
$95.89
(+20%)
Analyst growth 11.8%, PE expands to 17.4
Base Case
$87.17
(+9%)
Market implied 11.8%, PE stable at 15.8
Bear Case
$53.04
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.4 to 15.5
Stabilization Target:
$85.57
(+7.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 12:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:36 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:36 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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