BOX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BOX - BOX, INC.
$23.71
0.64 (2.77%)
▲
5d:
-3.3%
30d:
+0.68%
90d:
-21.18%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 26, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
BOX is down 4.8% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $25 2026-05-15 with 123 OI. Call ratio: 79% View Scanner →
Strength: 5.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BOX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BOX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.87
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.89
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BOX is currently trading at $23.71, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.96 to $25.10. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.9) is in line with its historical norms (17.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BOX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $22.89, while resistance sits at $24.99.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.25 (+39.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BOX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $22.89, while resistance sits at $24.99.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.25 (+39.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$22.96 -
$25.10
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 39.8% below Wall St target ($32.25)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$22.96 -
$25.10
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.89
Resistance Level
$24.99
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.89
Wall Street Target
$32.25
(+39.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-58.1%
Profit Margin
9.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.9 vs 17.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.54
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$22.02
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$21.51
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→17)
$23.02
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 12.8%)
$46.68
(+102%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.9, Growth: 12.8%)
$33.11
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.5, Growth: 12.8%)
$28.15
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (42x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 42.45 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.58
Bull Case
$54.16
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 46.7
Base Case
$49.24
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 42.5
Bear Case
$16.74
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 36.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.9 to 17.0
Stabilization Target:
$24.68
(+7.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 11:43 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BOX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
17
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Dylan C Smith
SELL
17000 shares
2026-03-10
Aaron Levie
SELL
15000 shares
2026-03-10
Olivia Nottebohm
SELL
4612 shares
2026-03-06
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