BPOP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BPOP - Popular Inc

STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS
$133.53
0.28 (0.21%) ▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 21, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BPOP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$219.47
Based on 9.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$136.28
2.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BPOP is currently trading at $133.53, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $124.47 to $128.78. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.5) is in line with its historical norms (9.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 45.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BPOP is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $134.27. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: BPOP has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $152.50 (+14.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $124.47 - $128.78
Company Quality Score 66/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 59.5%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($152.50)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $124.47 - $128.78
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $120.71
Resistance Level $134.27
Current Trend Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.52
Wall Street Target $152.50 (+14.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 11.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 45.5%
Profit Margin 27.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 8.5 vs 9.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $130.19 (-2%)
2-Year Target $127.19 (-5%)
3-Year Target $124.27 (-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→9) $132.78 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 14.2%) $519.70 (+290%)
Base: (SPY PE: 8.5, Growth: 14.2%) $198.48 (+49%)
Bear: (PE: 7.2, Growth: 14.2%) $168.71 (+27%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.89 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.99
Bull Case $184.40 (+38%)
Analyst growth 28.4%, PE expands to 12.0
Base Case $167.63 (+26%)
Market implied 28.4%, PE stable at 10.9
Bear Case $88.81 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.5 to 9.1
Stabilization Target: $142.38 (+6.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +6.9%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:51 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gilberto Monzon SELL 18001 shares 2025-09-02

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Advanced BPOP Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BPOP price and gamma walls.

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