WBS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WBS - Webster Financial Corporation Waterbury
$77.31
-0.29 (-0.37%)
▼
5d:
+1.7%
30d:
+6.05%
90d:
+10.1%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 6, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 16, 2026
8d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: WBS is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: WBS is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$102.65
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$63.74
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WBS is currently trading at $77.31, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $72.74 to $76.34. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.6) compared to its historical average (9.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WBS is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $73.34. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: WBS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WBS is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $73.34. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: WBS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$72.74 -
$76.34
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($74.29)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$72.74 -
$76.34
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$71.96
Resistance Level
$73.34
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.57
Wall Street Target
$74.29
(-4.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
15.4%
Profit Margin
37.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.1% premium
PE vs Historical
10.6 vs 9.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$80.01
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$82.49
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$85.04
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$77.22
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.7%)
$222.72
(+187%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.6, Growth: 11.7%)
$108.12
(+39%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.0, Growth: 11.7%)
$91.90
(+18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.10
Bull Case
$101.54
(+31%)
Analyst growth 20.3%, PE expands to 13.8
Base Case
$92.31
(+19%)
Market implied 20.3%, PE stable at 12.6
Bear Case
$52.17
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 07, 2026 11:49 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:49 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WBS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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