WBS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

WBS - Webster Financial Corporation Waterbury

NATIONAL COMMERCIAL BANKS
$71.16
-0.48 (-0.67%) ▼
5d: -2.4%
30d: -1.39%
90d: +0.04%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WBS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$100.37
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$62.32
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: WBS is currently trading at $71.16, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $71.25 to $72.76. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.7) is in line with its historical norms (9.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, WBS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $71.16. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $71.25 - $72.76
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 75.7%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($74.29)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $71.25 - $72.76
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $71.16
Resistance Level $73.52
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of May 15, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.72
Wall Street Target $74.29 (+4.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 8.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 15.4%
Profit Margin 37.4%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.7% premium
PE vs Historical 9.7 vs 9.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $71.66 (+1%)
2-Year Target $72.16 (+1%)
3-Year Target $72.66 (+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 10→10) PE COMPRESSION $71.00 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.1, Growth: 11.3%) $222.67 (+213%)
Base: (SPY PE: 9.7, Growth: 11.3%) $98.10 (+38%)
Bear: (PE: 8.3, Growth: 11.3%) $83.38 (+17%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.74 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.10
Bull Case $94.55 (+33%)
Analyst growth 20.0%, PE expands to 12.9
Base Case $85.96 (+21%)
Market implied 20.0%, PE stable at 11.7
Bear Case $48.72 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: May 18, 2026 4:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:02 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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