CAG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CAG - Conagra Brands, Inc.

FOOD AND KINDRED PRODUCTS
$15.73
0.11 (0.70%) ▲
5d: +1.75%
30d: -18.29%
90d: -8.76%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your CAG Gains
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 01, 2026 1d
Smart Money Accumulation

CAG is down 3.9% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $20 2026-06-18 with 4,297 OI. Call ratio: 64% View Scanner →

Strength: 3.3/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CAG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.56
Based on 3.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.15
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CAG is currently trading at $15.73, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.72 to $18.85. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.8) is in line with its historical norms (9.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CAG is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $15.04, while resistance sits at $16.41.

Market Sentiment: CAG has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.40 (+17.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range $15.72 - $18.85
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 54.8%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($18.40)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $15.72 - $18.85
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $15.04
Resistance Level $16.41
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.82
Wall Street Target $18.40 (+17.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -6.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -64.9%
Profit Margin -0.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 8.8 vs 9.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $15.56 (-1%)
2-Year Target $15.39 (-2%)
3-Year Target $15.22 (-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→9) $15.71 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 3.6%) $44.35 (+182%)
Base: (SPY PE: 8.8, Growth: 3.6%) $17.49 (+11%)
Bear: (PE: 7.5, Growth: 3.6%) $14.87 (-6%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.8 to 9.1
Stabilization Target: $16.24 (+3.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +3.2%
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Last updated: March 30, 2026 5:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:53 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr. BUY 2026-02-10
Ro Khanna SELL 2026-01-29
Ro Khanna SELL 2026-01-13

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Advanced CAG Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CAG price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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