DAR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DAR - DARLING INGREDIENTS INC.
$56.53
-0.05 (-0.09%)
▼
5d:
+6.5%
30d:
-6.31%
90d:
-9.06%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
18d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DAR trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -8.3% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DAR trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -8.3% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$99.69
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$61.90
8.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DAR is currently trading at $56.53, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $53.90 to $59.62. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.0) compared to its historical average (14.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $57.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: DAR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $74.92 (+32.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $57.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: DAR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $74.92 (+32.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$53.90 -
$59.62
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.5% below Wall St target ($74.92)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$53.90 -
$59.62
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$57.10
Resistance Level
$63.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.97
Wall Street Target
$74.92
(+32.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-44.6%
Profit Margin
3.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.0 vs 14.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$51.84
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$47.54
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$43.59
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→14)
$56.41
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.8%)
$144.65
(+156%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.0, Growth: 8.8%)
$72.88
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.3, Growth: 8.8%)
$61.94
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (41x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 41.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.38
Bull Case
$124.48
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 45.1
Base Case
$113.16
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 41.0
Bear Case
$38.47
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.0 to 14.2
Stabilization Target:
$73.15
(+29.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+29.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 6:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:39 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:39 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DAR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Randall C Stuewe
SELL
20000 shares
2026-03-06
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