DAR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DAR - DARLING INGREDIENTS INC.
$62.78
0.52 (0.84%)
▲
5d:
+0.82%
30d:
+7.43%
90d:
+24.79%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026
0d
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1 traders called DAR this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DAR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DAR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$93.04
Based on 4.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$57.77
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DAR is currently trading at $62.78, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $60.02 to $63.71. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.6) compared to its historical average (15.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $61.09. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $76.42 (+21.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $61.09. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $76.42 (+21.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$60.02 -
$63.71
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.7% below Wall St target ($76.42)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$60.02 -
$63.71
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$61.09
Resistance Level
$66.02
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.64
Wall Street Target
$76.42
(+21.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-44.6%
Profit Margin
3.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.6 vs 15.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$59.26
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$55.95
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$52.81
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→15)
$62.66
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 5.1%)
$127.10
(+102%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.6, Growth: 5.1%)
$72.91
(+16%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.7, Growth: 5.1%)
$61.97
(-1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (45x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 45.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.38
Bull Case
$136.97
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 49.6
Base Case
$124.52
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 45.1
Bear Case
$42.34
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 38.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.6 to 15.0
Stabilization Target:
$74.48
(+18.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 7:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:27 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:27 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DAR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Randall C Stuewe
SELL
20000 shares
2026-03-06
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