CCS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CCS - CENTURY COMMUNITIES, INC.
$62.98
-0.99 (-1.55%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 22, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CCS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CCS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$110.15
Based on 12.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$68.40
7.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CCS is currently trading at $62.98, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $59.49 to $67.47. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.0) is in line with its historical norms (9.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCS is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $61.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $72.67 (+13.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCS is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $61.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $72.67 (+13.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$59.49 -
$67.47
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($72.67)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.8% growth with -13.8% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$59.49 -
$67.47
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.94
(6.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$61.96
Resistance Level
$70.60
Current Trend
Sideways
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.99
Wall Street Target
$72.67
(+13.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-13.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-51.7%
Profit Margin
5.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.8% premium
PE vs Historical
10.0 vs 9.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$64.48
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$65.00
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$65.52
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$64.29
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 20.1%)
$247.16
(+286%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.0, Growth: 20.1%)
$110.70
(+73%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.5, Growth: 20.1%)
$94.09
(+47%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.33 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.86
Bull Case
$65.72
(+4%)
Analyst growth -6.6%, PE expands to 10.3
Base Case
$59.75
(-5%)
Market implied -6.6%, PE stable at 9.3
Bear Case
$43.51
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 11:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:26 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:26 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CCS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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