VTMX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VTMX - Corporacion Inmobiliaria Vesta, S.A.B de C.V., American Depositary Shares, each representing ten (10) Common Shares
$34.00
-0.45 (-1.31%)
▼
5d:
-4.44%
30d:
-6.49%
90d:
-0.44%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VTMX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VTMX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$49.27
Based on 6.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.59
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VTMX is currently trading at $34.00, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.81 to $36.04. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.8) is in line with its historical norms (15.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 583.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VTMX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $32.01, while resistance sits at $36.72.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VTMX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $32.01, while resistance sits at $36.72.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$34.81 -
$36.04
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($36.02)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$34.81 -
$36.04
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$32.01
Resistance Level
$36.72
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.85
Wall Street Target
$36.03
(+6.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
583.8%
Profit Margin
112.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.9 vs 15.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$33.12
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$32.25
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$31.42
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→15)
$34.03
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 8.0%)
$68.33
(+101%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.8, Growth: 8.0%)
$42.87
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.8, Growth: 8.0%)
$36.44
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.04 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.81
Bull Case
$24.42
(-28%)
Analyst growth -35.5%, PE expands to 10.0
Base Case
$22.20
(-35%)
Market implied -35.5%, PE stable at 9.0
Bear Case
$23.43
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.8 to 15.0
Stabilization Target:
$36.83
(+8.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 6:57 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:57 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:57 AM
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Technical Signals Check
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