CI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CI - The Cigna Group

HOSPITAL & MEDICAL SERVICE PLANS
$274.11
2.84 (1.05%) ▲
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 05, 2026 4d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$327.65
Based on 3.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$203.44
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CI is currently trading at $274.11, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $272.31 to $280.40. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.9) is in line with its historical norms (9.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 165.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $281.49. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $326.92 (+20.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range $272.31 - $280.40
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 20.5% below Wall St target ($326.92)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $272.31 - $280.40
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $265.75
Resistance Level $281.49
Current Trend Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.90
Wall Street Target $326.92 (+20.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 9.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 165.4%
Profit Margin 2.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 8.9 vs 9.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $269.64 (-1%)
2-Year Target $268.02 (-1%)
3-Year Target $266.42 (-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→9) $272.26 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 2.8%) $737.75 (+172%)
Base: (SPY PE: 8.9, Growth: 2.8%) $294.60 (+9%)
Bear: (PE: 7.6, Growth: 2.8%) $250.41 (-8%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.06 | Current EPS (TTM): $22.58
Bull Case $404.22 (+48%)
Analyst growth 34.9%, PE expands to 13.3
Base Case $367.48 (+34%)
Market implied 34.9%, PE stable at 12.1
Bear Case $185.22 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.9 to 9.1
Stabilization Target: $277.22 (+2.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +2.2%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:46 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Brian C Evanko SELL 5368 shares 2025-10-03
Ro Khanna SELL 2025-09-29
Julie Johnson SELL 2025-09-25

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Advanced CI Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CI price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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