CNC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNC - Centene Corporation
$43.32
-0.28 (-0.64%)
ā¼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 06, 2026
5d
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4 traders called CNC this week
80% bullish • 1 bearish
80% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
š HOLD: CNC is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
š HOLD: CNC is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$84.43
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$52.42
17.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNC is currently trading at $43.32, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.37 to $46.42. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.6) is in line with its historical norms (14.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $40.12, while resistance sits at $47.02.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $40.12, while resistance sits at $47.02.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$41.37 -
$46.42
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CNC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($43.88)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.0% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$41.37 -
$46.42
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$40.12
Resistance Level
$47.02
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.58
Wall Street Target
$43.88
(+0.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
21.8%
Profit Margin
-3.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.1% premium
PE vs Historical
14.6 vs 14.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$43.64
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$43.69
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$43.73
(+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15ā15)
PE COMPRESSION
$43.49
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 46.9%)
$211.18
(+384%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.6, Growth: 46.9%)
$138.09
(+217%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.4, Growth: 46.9%)
$117.38
(+169%)
Last updated: January 30, 2026 9:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:58 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
2025-08-18
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BUY
19230 shares
2025-08-08
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BUY
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Advanced CNC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CNC price and gamma walls.
