CNI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNI - Canadian National Railway
$102.63
1.30 (1.28%)
▲
5d:
+1.64%
30d:
-9.19%
90d:
+3.21%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
CNI is down 5.2% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $115 2026-05-15 with 101 OI. Call ratio: 87% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CNI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CNI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$150.36
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$93.36
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNI is currently trading at $102.63, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $101.55 to $110.42. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.6) is in line with its historical norms (12.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 11.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $102.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CNI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $102.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CNI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$101.55 -
$110.42
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CNI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($109.96)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$101.55 -
$110.42
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$97.98
Resistance Level
$102.75
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.62
Wall Street Target
$109.96
(+8.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
11.4%
Profit Margin
27.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.6 vs 12.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$100.22
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$99.11
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$98.02
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
$101.22
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 11.1%)
$267.29
(+164%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.6, Growth: 11.1%)
$138.98
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.9, Growth: 11.1%)
$118.13
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.86 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.51
Bull Case
$172.30
(+71%)
Analyst growth 59.2%, PE expands to 19.7
Base Case
$156.64
(+56%)
Market implied 59.2%, PE stable at 17.9
Bear Case
$66.92
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.6 to 12.0
Stabilization Target:
$104.63
(+3.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 2:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:55 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:55 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced CNI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CNI price and gamma walls.
