CNI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNI - Canadian National Railway
$96.22
-4.81 (-4.76%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 30, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When CNI Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CNI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CNI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$127.54
Based on 5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$79.19
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNI is currently trading at $96.22, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $97.82 to $100.18. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.5) is in line with its historical norms (12.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $96.14. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $113.96 (+12.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $96.14. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $113.96 (+12.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$97.82 -
$100.18
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($113.96)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$97.82 -
$100.18
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$96.14
Resistance Level
$101.72
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.51
Wall Street Target
$113.96
(+12.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.4%
Profit Margin
26.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.3% premium
PE vs Historical
12.5 vs 12.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$102.34
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$103.67
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$105.02
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$100.75
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 7.3%)
$222.77
(+121%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.5, Growth: 7.3%)
$124.96
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.6, Growth: 7.3%)
$106.22
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.37
Bull Case
$166.24
(+65%)
Analyst growth 50.4%, PE expands to 20.6
Base Case
$151.13
(+50%)
Market implied 50.4%, PE stable at 18.7
Bear Case
$68.33
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:56 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is CNI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Railroads Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Railroads by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CP
Canadian Pacific Railway… |
STRONG BUY
32 analysts |
$88 | 64 BUY |
|
CSX
CSX Corporation |
BUY
27 analysts |
$40 | 67 BUY |
|
UNP
Union Pacific Corporation |
BUY
29 analysts |
$263 | 61 BUY |
|
NSC
Norfolk Southern Corpora… |
BUY
27 analysts |
$311 | 61 BUY |
|
WAB
Westinghouse Air Brake T… |
BUY
12 analysts |
$240 | 60 BUY |
Advanced CNI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CNI price and gamma walls.
