WAB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WAB - Wabtec Inc.
$262.19
-1.81 (-0.69%)
▼
5d:
-7.17%
30d:
-0.88%
90d:
+2.41%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
18d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: WAB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: WAB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$409.32
Based on 9.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$254.16
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WAB is currently trading at $262.19, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $258.48 to $272.02. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.6) is in line with its historical norms (21.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 12.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WAB is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $268.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $300.00 (+14.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WAB is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $268.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $300.00 (+14.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$258.48 -
$272.02
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding WAB? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($300.00)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.2% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$258.48 -
$272.02
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$251.15
Resistance Level
$268.02
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.57
Wall Street Target
$300.00
(+14.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
12.8%
Profit Margin
10.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.6 vs 21.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$261.67
(0%)
2-Year Target
$261.14
(0%)
3-Year Target
$260.62
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→22)
$262.18
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 14.5%)
$397.24
(+52%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.6, Growth: 14.5%)
$393.43
(+50%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.3, Growth: 14.5%)
$334.41
(+28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.08
Bull Case
$498.56
(+90%)
Analyst growth 71.7%, PE expands to 41.0
Base Case
$453.23
(+73%)
Market implied 71.7%, PE stable at 37.3
Bear Case
$179.52
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.6 to 21.7
Stabilization Target:
$263.76
(+0.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 5:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:13 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:13 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WAB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
12
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
60852 shares
2026-04-14
Rick Larsen
BUY
2026-04-07
Gina Trombley
SELL
4013 shares
2026-03-12
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