CNX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNX - CNX Resources Corporation
$39.98
-0.60 (-1.48%)
▼
5d:
-1.62%
30d:
-4.31%
90d:
+9.21%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CNX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CNX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$94.71
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$58.81
32.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNX is currently trading at $39.98, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.54 to $41.90. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.7) compared to its historical average (11.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 225.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNX is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $39.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNX is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $39.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$39.54 -
$41.90
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($37.86)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$39.54 -
$41.90
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$39.00
Resistance Level
$43.00
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.70
Wall Street Target
$37.86
(-5.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
41.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
225.0%
Profit Margin
30.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.7 vs 11.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$37.42
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$35.03
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$32.78
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→12)
$39.88
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 41.2%)
$259.35
(+549%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.7, Growth: 41.2%)
$112.56
(+182%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.2, Growth: 41.2%)
$95.67
(+139%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.17 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.98
Bull Case
$45.97
(+13%)
Analyst growth 3.2%, PE expands to 11.2
Base Case
$41.79
(+3%)
Market implied 3.2%, PE stable at 10.2
Bear Case
$27.53
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.7 to 11.8
Stabilization Target:
$48.64
(+21.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 10:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:40 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Bernard Lanigan Jr
SELL
46119 shares
2026-02-19
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