CNX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNX - CNX Resources Corporation
$38.80
1.20 (3.19%)
▲
5d:
+5.9%
30d:
+3.41%
90d:
+22.13%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 22, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CNX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CNX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$116.99
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$72.64
46.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNX is currently trading at $38.80, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.84 to $37.50. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.0) compared to its historical average (14.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 225.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $38.97. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: CNX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $38.97. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: CNX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$35.84 -
$37.50
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.2%)
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($36.21)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$35.84 -
$37.50
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$35.17
Resistance Level
$38.97
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.04
Wall Street Target
$36.21
(-6.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
86.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
225.0%
Profit Margin
28.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.0 vs 14.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$34.92
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$31.43
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$28.29
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→14)
$43.79
(+13%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 53.2%)
$322.95
(+732%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.0, Growth: 53.2%)
$130.95
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.7, Growth: 53.2%)
$111.31
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.26 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.65
Bull Case
$61.18
(+58%)
Analyst growth 51.4%, PE expands to 24.5
Base Case
$55.62
(+43%)
Market implied 51.4%, PE stable at 22.3
Bear Case
$24.98
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.0 to 14.0
Stabilization Target:
$60.07
(+54.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+54.8%
Last updated: February 02, 2026 2:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:14 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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