CSGP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CSGP - CoStar Group Inc
$39.95
0.32 (0.81%)
▲
5d:
-3.27%
30d:
-16.07%
90d:
-40.59%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CSGP trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -16.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CSGP trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -16.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$86.45
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$53.68
25.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CSGP is currently trading at $39.95, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.27 to $46.99. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 22.5) compared to its historical average (38.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 16.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSGP is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $38.69, while resistance sits at $43.75.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.89 (+62.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSGP is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $38.69, while resistance sits at $43.75.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.89 (+62.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$41.27 -
$46.99
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 62.4% below Wall St target ($64.89)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$41.27 -
$46.99
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.69
Resistance Level
$43.75
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.50
Wall Street Target
$64.89
(+62.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
26.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-25.9%
Profit Margin
0.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-16.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.5 vs 38.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-16.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$35.95
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$32.36
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$29.12
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→39)
$49.97
(+25%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.5, Growth: 35.5%)
$99.45
(+149%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.6, Growth: 35.5%)
$90.93
(+128%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.5, Growth: 35.5%)
$77.29
(+94%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 31.55 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.36
Bull Case
$51.81
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 33.1
Base Case
$42.91
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 31.6
Bear Case
$32.83
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 28.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.5 to 38.6
Stabilization Target:
$68.54
(+71.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+71.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 6:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:24 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:24 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CSGP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
7
Buys
5
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Louise S Sams
BUY
1000 shares
2026-03-06
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-24
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-17
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